Dallas vs Minnesota United Preview: Prediction, Lineups, H2H & Team News | MLS

FC Dallas vs Minnesota United Preview, Prediction, Possible Lineups, Head to Head Analysis and Team News – MLS 2025 | Friday, July 5th, 2025.

 

Match Info
Competition: Major League Soccer – Western Conference
Date: Friday, July 5, 2025
Kick-off Time: 1:30am UK (7:30pm local time)
Venue: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
Teams: FC Dallas vs Minnesota United

As the United States celebrates its Independence Day weekend, the fireworks are set to begin early on the pitch in Frisco, Texas, where FC Dallas welcome high-flying Minnesota United in a crucial Western Conference battle. With both sides vying to solidify their postseason hopes, this clash under the lights at Toyota Stadium is more than just another regular season fixture — it’s a litmus test of form, character, and tactical resolve.

Match Preview

FC Dallas: Home Troubles Continue

Traditionally strong at Toyota Stadium, FC Dallas have struggled to replicate their former home dominance during the 2025 campaign. So far this season, they’ve recorded just a single win on home soil — the joint-lowest in Major League Soccer. This comes in stark contrast to the 2024 season when Dallas used their home form as a foundation, winning 10 matches in Frisco and remaining in playoff contention deep into the campaign.

The cracks in their armor have been glaring this year. Eric Quill’s side has dropped nine points at home from winning positions — losses that have proved incredibly costly. Had they held onto those leads, they’d be sitting in fourth place instead of languishing in 11th, below the playoff cutoff.

Saturday’s 3-2 defeat at home to San Diego FC exposed the same vulnerabilities — lapses in defensive concentration, late-game fatigue, and an inability to manage the tempo. Despite taking the lead, the Toros couldn’t hold on and were ultimately undone by a more clinical side.

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Defensively, Dallas have been particularly fragile, conceding three or more goals in three home fixtures this season. They’ve also managed just one clean sheet at home in the 2025 MLS campaign, a statistic that highlights their inability to protect their backline against pressure.

But it’s not all doom and gloom. Despite these issues, Dallas have shown flashes of resilience. With 21 points from 19 games, they are still one point better off than they were at the same stage last season — a small yet notable improvement.

And recent history provides hope. Dallas are unbeaten in their last four meetings with Minnesota United, including a thrilling 5-3 home win in this exact fixture in 2024.

Minnesota United: Chasing the Summit

Under head coach Eric Ramsay, Minnesota United have been one of the most consistent performers in the Western Conference. Entering the matchweek in third place, the Loons are riding a wave of momentum despite recent hiccups.

Their latest result — a frustrating 2-2 draw away to the New York Red Bulls — saw them once again fail to close out a match after scoring first. That’s now five games in which they’ve dropped points after netting the opener, surrendering a total of 11 points in such scenarios.

Nevertheless, the Loons have only lost one of their last eight matches across all competitions — a 4-2 defeat to conference leaders San Diego FC. They’ve proven to be a tough nut to crack, showing defensive solidity and tactical organization under Ramsay’s guidance.

On the road, Minnesota have been competitive and resilient. They are unbeaten in their last three MLS away matches and have suffered only two defeats on the road throughout the 2025 season.

However, there are warning signs. The five goals they’ve conceded in their last two away league matches highlight a recent dip in defensive discipline, especially compared to their previous five away fixtures where they conceded just three combined.

Historically, Texas hasn’t been kind to the Loons. They’ve not recorded a regular-season win in the Lone Star State since July 2023, when they defeated Houston Dynamo 3-0. Their last win at Toyota Stadium came even earlier, in February 2023.

Recent Form

FC Dallas – Last 6 MLS Matches:
❌ Loss vs San Diego (2-3)
❌ Loss vs Austin (1-2)
✅ Win vs Vancouver (3-1)
➖ Draw vs LA Galaxy (2-2)
➖ Draw vs Portland Timbers (1-1)
❌ Loss vs St. Louis City (0-1)

Minnesota United – Last 6 MLS Matches:
➖ Draw vs NY Red Bulls (2-2)
✅ Win vs LAFC (1-0)
❌ Loss vs San Diego (2-4)
✅ Win vs Colorado Rapids (3-1)
➖ Draw vs Seattle Sounders (0-0)
➖ Draw vs Real Salt Lake (1-1)

Head-to-Head: Dallas vs Minnesota United

The all-time MLS head-to-head favors FC Dallas slightly:

• Total Meetings: 16

• Dallas Wins: 7

• Minnesota United Wins: 5

• Draws: 4

Last 5 meetings:

• July 2024: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota United

• April 2024: Minnesota United 1-1 Dallas

• September 2023: Minnesota United 0-1 Dallas

• June 2023: Dallas 0-0 Minnesota United

• April 2023: Minnesota United 1-0 Dallas

Team News & Squad Updates

FC Dallas

Manager Eric Quill is still juggling injury concerns heading into this matchup:

• Out/In Doubt:

  • Osaze Urhoghide – Upper leg injury

  • Paxton Pomykal – Knee bruise

  • Anderson Julio – Lower leg injury

In brighter news, Petar Musa continues to be the standout performer in attack, scoring his team-leading 7th league goal of the season against San Diego. Veteran midfielder Sebastian Lletget also got off the mark for 2025, and his creative spark could be vital if Dallas are to break down a compact Minnesota backline.

Minnesota United

The Loons may be boosted by the return of several Gold Cup participants:

• Possible Returns:

  • Dayne St. Clair (Canada)

  • Tani Oluwaseyi (Canada)

  • Carlos Harvey (Panama)

However, Joseph Rosales is expected to miss the game with Honduras playing in the semi-finals midweek.

Morris Duggan remains sidelined with a back injury, but the attacking duo of Kelvin Yeboah and Anthony Markanich remain dangerous. Both were on the scoresheet against New York Red Bulls and have been vital contributors during the Loons’ away run.

Predicted Lineups

FC Dallas Predicted XI (4-3-3):

GK: Maarten Paes
DEF: Moore, Nkosi Tafari, Abubakar, Farfan
MID: Delgado, Ntsabeleng, Lletget
FWD: Kamungo, Petar Musa, Acosta

Minnesota United Predicted XI (4-2-3-1):

GK: Dayne St. Clair
DEF: Gressel, Miguel Tapias, Boxall, Markanich
MID: Trapp, Lod; Hlongwane, Pereyra, Harvey
FWD: Kelvin Yeboah

Match Prediction: Dallas 0-1 Minnesota United

Given Dallas’s defensive frailty and inability to close games at home, this could be a prime opportunity for Minnesota United to steal all three points. The Loons’ compact midfield and efficient transition game may cause problems for the Toros, especially with Petar Musa often isolated up top.

Despite Dallas’ unbeaten streak against Minnesota in recent meetings, the tide may turn this time around. A narrow away win for the visitors seems likely, with Kelvin Yeboah or Bongokuhle Hlongwane potential match-winners.

Key Match Facts

• Minnesota are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 away games in all competitions.

• Dallas have lost 3 home matches this season after leading in the second half.

• FC Dallas have conceded 3+ goals in 3 of their last 5 home MLS games.

• Petar Musa has 7 goals for Dallas — more than any Minnesota player this season.

• Minnesota haven’t won in Frisco since February 2023.

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Final Thoughts

While the Fourth of July atmosphere might lift spirits in Frisco, the form book suggests a tough evening for Dallas fans. The Toros desperately need a turnaround in home performances if they hope to keep their playoff dreams alive, but they’ll face an organized and ambitious Minnesota side that won’t go down without a fight.